International Journal of Cancer

Background: Rectal cancer (RC) is traditionally grouped within colorectal cancer (CRC), despite growing evidence of distinct epidemiologic features. However, global comparative assessments of lifetime risks of RC relative to CRC remain limited. We aimed to estimate lifetime risks of developing and dying from RC and CRC worldwide and to examine geographic, socioeconomic, and temporal variations in the proportional contribution of RC within CRC. Methods: Age-specific incidence and mortality estimates for RC and CRC across 185 countries were obtained from GLOBOCAN 2022, together with population and all-cause mortality data from the United Nations. Lifetime risks of incidence (LRI) and mortality (LRM) were calculated using the adjusted-for-multiple-primaries (AMP) method by sex, country, region, and Human Development Index (HDI). The RC-to-CRC lifetime risk ratio quantified the proportional contribution of RC. Temporal trends were assessed in 42 countries using Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus (CI5plus) data and average annual percent change (AAPC). Results: In 2022, the global lifetime risk of developing RC was 1.61% and dying from RC was 0.95%, accounting for approximately 35% of the corresponding CRC lifetime burden (4.61% and 2.68%). Absolute lifetime risks of both RC and CRC increased with HDI. In contrast, the proportional contribution of RC varied markedly, peaking at 41%-43% in Central and South-Eastern Asia but falling below 20% in the Caribbean and Central America, and showed a negative association with HDI. The LRI/LRM ratio increased with socioeconomic development. Temporal analyses showed increasing LRI trends in 17 of 42 countries for CRC versus 9 for RC, while declines occurred in 14 countries for RC and 11 for CRC. Conclusions: RC constitutes a substantial yet epidemiologically distinct component of the global CRC burden. Its proportional contribution varies across regions and does not parallel absolute risk patterns, supporting the need for subsite-specific surveillance and prevention strategies.

IntroductionPathogenic germline variants in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes confer a markedly increased risk of breast and ovarian cancer, for which effective preventive strategies are available. Although national and international guidelines recommend BRCA testing and cascade screening of relatives, implementation in Italy remains highly heterogeneous across regions. This study estimates the potential population health and cost impact of achieving full nationwide implementation of BRCA1/2 cascade screening in Italy and identifies key organisational barriers and priority actions for implementation. MethodsWe conducted a Health Impact Assessment integrating literature review, simulation modelling, and stakeholder consultation. A decision tree and Markov model compared the current heterogeneous implementation of BRCA screening in Italy with an ideal scenario reflecting full adherence to national guidelines, optimal cascade screening, and uptake of preventive strategies. Outcomes included breast and ovarian cancer incidence and mortality, healthcare costs over a lifetime horizon (80 years). Key barriers affecting organisational feasibility, acceptability, and patient well-being were assessed, and a set of priority action recommendations was developed. ResultsIn the ideal scenario, 25,626 eligible cancer patients would undergo BRCA testing annually, identifying 4,254 mutation carriers and enabling cascade testing of 27,650 relatives, of whom 8,682 would be BRCA-positive. Under the current implementation, only 8,807 patients and 2,168 relatives are tested, identifying 948 carriers. Over 30 years, full implementation would prevent 821 cancer cases (-27.9%) and 1,282 deaths (-49.7%) compared with the current scenario. While initial expenditures increase due to expanded testing and preventive interventions, cumulative costs decrease over time, resulting in net savings of {euro}5.8 million at 30 years and a saving per event avoided (-{euro}2,779). Major implementation barriers include fragmented governance, limited access to genetic counselling, heterogeneous laboratory practices, insufficient professional training, and weak referral pathways. ConclusionFull implementation of BRCA1/2 cascade screening in Italy would yield substantial population health benefits and long-term cost savings. Coordinated national governance, standardized pathways, investment in counselling and workforce capacity, and robust monitoring systems are essential to ensure equitable access and sustainable delivery of personalized cancer prevention. This study demonstrates the value of the HIA methodology for evaluating and guiding genomic prevention policies.

BackgroundThe tumor immune microenvironment likely plays a central role in progression of thyroid cancer. As for most other solid tumors, it is unknown if immune dysregulation contributes to earlier, subclinical stages of thyroid tumor development, or whether thyroid tumor heterogeneity might involve differential expression of pro-inflammatory mediators. MethodsThe time course of tumor-associated inflammation was studied in Tg-CreERT2;Braf CA/+ mice representing a model of BRAFV600E-driven papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). Tumor growth was estimated by histological examination and magnetic resonance imaging. Cytokine expression was monitored by quantitative RT-PCR, RNAScope and Western blot analyses. ResultsBased on spontaneous BrafCA activation due to leaky Cre activity in a minority of targeted cells tumors developed within a preserved thyroid tissue architecture to multifocal papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) over a period of 12 months. Tumorigenesis was accompanied by a gradually increased mRNA and protein expression of interleukin-1beta (IL-1{beta}), interleukin-6 and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-) starting already before Braf mutant cells commenced neoplastic growth. RNAScope revealed that both follicular cells and stromal cells expressed Il1b whereas Il6 and Tnfa transcripts were mostly confined to neoplastic epithelia. Early cytokine expression was associated with oncogene-induced senescence, whereas during tumor development (3-6 months) and in advanced tumor stages (at 12 months) the cytokine expression pattern differed among glands and tumor foci of the same gland accompanied by a highly variable locoregional lymphocytic infiltration. Oral treatment of mutant mice for 1 month with PLX4720, a vemurafenib prodrug, partially reduced cytokine expression along with inhibited tumor growth and redifferentiation of thyroid function. The magnitude of reduced cytokine expression differed much between glands and among mice of both sexes. ConclusionsThese findings indicate that oncogenic BRAFV600E targeted to the thyroid both stimulates endogenous production of IL-1{beta}, IL-6 and TNF- and recruits inflammatory cells to foci of early tumor development. PTCs of different clonal origin are distinguished by differential expression of pro-inflammatory cytokines. The anti-inflammatory effect of mutant Braf kinase inhibition varies presumably related to heterogeneous tumor development, which evolves from stochastic BrafCA activation suggesting there are clonally different probabilities of acquiring drug resistance among Braf mutant thyroid follicular cells.

Background: Breast cancer is the most frequently diagnosed cancer and the leading cause of cancer death in women worldwide, and the great majority of these deaths are caused by metastatic disease. Whether the immunohistochemical (IHC) phenotype of breast cancer is associated with the anatomical site of metastasis has been characterized mainly in high-income, registry-based populations, while data from ecologically stressed and medically under-served regions such as the Lower Aral Sea basin are lacking. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 652 women diagnosed with breast cancer at the Khorezm Branch of the Republican Specialized Scientific-Practical Medical Center of Oncology and Radiology (Uzbekistan) between 2020 and 2024, of whom 213 had metastatic disease (306 metastatic foci). Histological type was assessed on hematoxylin-eosin and van Gieson-stained sections; quantitative morphometry was performed in Fiji/ImageJ; and HER2, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and Ki-67 were assessed by IHC. The association between marker expression and metastatic site (liver, lung, lymph node) was tested in 187 foci with adequate tissue using the chi-square test, with significance at p < 0.05. Results: Invasive ductal carcinoma predominated. Metastatic site was significantly associated with the IHC phenotype. Liver metastases showed the highest frequency of HER2 3+ (45.7%), ER-negativity (65.2%), PR-negativity (69.6%) and high proliferation (Ki-67 [&ge;] 60%; 47.8%), whereas lymph-node metastases were more often hormone-receptor-positive (ER+ 58.7%; PR+ 52.4%) with lower HER2 3+ (22.2%); lung metastases were intermediate (all p < 0.05). The combination of HER2 3+ and Ki-67 [&ge;] 60% was associated with multi-organ spread. Morphometry corroborated these patterns: liver lesions had larger atypical cells (up to 132.8 m), a higher nuclear-to-cytoplasmic ratio (0.76 vs 0.51) and more extensive necrosis and microvascularity than lymph-node lesions. A pragmatic 5-criterion morphological score (histological type, Ki-67, HER2, ER/PR status, atypical-cell size) stratified metastatic risk into three tiers. Conclusions: In this regional cohort, the IHC phenotype of breast cancer tracked the anatomical site of metastasis, with an aggressive HER2-driven, hormone-receptor-negative profile concentrated in liver metastases and a hormone-receptor-positive profile in lymph-node metastases. These findings reproduce established organotropism patterns in a previously uncharacterized population and support phenotype-aware, site-specific surveillance together with a low-cost morphological risk score for resource-limited settings.

Withdrawal StatementThe authors have withdrawn this manuscript to address issues related to data-use permission and authorship review. Therefore, the authors do not wish this work to be cited as reference for the project. If you have any questions, please contact the corresponding author.

Objectives Estimates of breast cancer over-diagnosis related to mammography screening varies substantially. Over-diagnosis is commonly defined as cases that would not have been detected during the persons remaining lifetime in the absence of screening. We here aim to quantify over-diagnosis in the population-based BreastScreen Norway mammography screening program using long-term follow-up and more detailed modeling than previous studies. Setting We applied data on Norwegian screening patterns and breast carcinoma incidence for the period 1987-2019, covering women aged 49-84 years, leveraging the gradual implementation of the organized biennial BreastScreen Norway screening program for women aged 50-69 during 1995-2005. Methods Using an extended age-period-cohort model, we estimated excess lifetime risk of invasive breast cancer and ductal carcinoma in situ in the presence of program screening, as an indicator of over-diagnosis among screen-detected cases. Results Lifetime risk of breast carcinomas was 6.6% (95% confidence interval 2.5% to 10.7%) higher for invited than for non-invited women. This indicates that 18% (95% confidence interval 7.3% to 28.0%) of screen-detected cases may be over-diagnosed, and that approximately one in 86 (95% confidence interval 54 to 210) screened women were over-diagnosed during their screening period. Using effect estimates from previous studies, we estimated that approximately three women are over-diagnosed for every breast cancer death prevented by screening, and that 87% of over-diagnosed tumors might grow extremely slowly. Conclusions Over-diagnosis related to mammography screening is a considerable problem, but its extent may be smaller than reported in some previous studies. Most over-diagnosed tumors likely grow very slowly.

BackgroundMulticancer early detection tests could be used for cancer screening, but may lead to harms, including false positive results and overdiagnosis of indolent tumours that would not have become clinically evident during that persons lifetime. We assessed the potential for these screening harms in the context of future population-based screening with a multicancer early detection test. MethodsWe used a microsimulation model to assess potential population-level impacts of screening at ages 50-75 years with a multicancer early detection test in Canada. We assumed high test specificity (97-99.1%) and test sensitivity increasing with cancer stage. The model includes latent indolent cancers that would not be diagnosed within that persons lifetime but can be overdiagnosed through screen-detection. We calculated the yearly and cumulative lifetime probabilities of screening overdiagnosis and false positive test results, assuming a range of preclinical screen-detectable periods (2-5 years). ResultsAn estimated 2.1-6.0% of all yearly screen-detected cancers with a multicancer screening test were predicted to be overdiagnoses across scenarios. The proportion of overdiagnosis varied by site, and strongly increased with age, going from 1% at age 50 to over 10% of screen-detected cancers by age 75. The test positive predictive value ranged from 15.9%-77.6%, meaning that there could be 0.3-5.3 false positives with no underlying cancer for every true cancer case detected by the test. ConclusionPopulation-level multicancer screening with a multicancer early detection test would likely not lead to substantial screen-related overdiagnosis. Healthcare systems should consider how screening false positives may increase their diagnostic service caseload.

PurposeBladder cancer (BLCA) is a heterogeneous tumor type. Only one third of muscle-invasive (MIBC) patients respond to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Reliable resistance markers are needed to guide clinical decisions. We investigated the nerve growth factor receptor (NGFR) in BLCA and analyzed its correlation with disease progression and response to immunotherapy. Experimental DesignWe analyzed NGFR expression in BLCA cell lines, organoids, mouse models and patient samples. The cohorts used were The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), enriched in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) (n=407); IMvigor210, representing MIBC patients treated with ICIs (n=348); and UROMOL2, as a non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC)-specific cohort (n=535). IMvigor010 was also included (n=728). Patients were stratified by NGFR expression quartiles. We analyzed survival and tumor subtypes and performed stromal deconvolution and functional profiling. We assessed stemness- and invasion-related features in SCaBER cells. ResultsNGFR marks a basal tumor cell subcluster and is independently associated with poor prognosis in TCGA and IMvigor210. NGFR-high tumors show stromal content enriched in cancer-associated fibroblasts, lower neoantigen burden, higher CD8+ T effector signature together with an immune-excluded phenotype, and a CAF-specific TGF{beta} signature. In the immunotherapy-treated cohort, high NGFR expression was also associated with poorer outcome. Functionally, NGFR appears to promote a stem-like/pro-invasive program in BLCA cells. ConclusionsNGFR identifies a basal-like BLCA subpopulation linked to poor survival, while its association with immunotherapy response requires further validation. In addition, our in vitro analyses support a role of NGFR in stem-like and invasive traits, highlighting its relevance as a biomarker in BLCA.

BackgroundCDH1 (E-cadherin) is a key epithelial adhesion molecule traditionally associated with tumor suppression and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT). However, its roles across cancers remain incompletely understood, particularly within multilayer regulatory contexts involving genomic, epigenetic, transcriptional, and immune mechanisms. MethodsCDH1 expression, survival associations, EMT-correlated gene profiles (VIM, SNAI1, ZEB1), immune infiltration patterns, immune checkpoint correlations (PDCD1, CD274, CTLA4), promoter methylation, and genomic alterations were assessed across five epithelial cancers, breast invasive carcinoma (BRCA), colon adenocarcinoma (COAD), lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), ovarian cancer (OV), and stomach adenocarcinoma (STAD). Cross-platform validation was performed using TCGA/GDC datasets, GEPIA2, UALCAN, TIMER, KM Plotter, cBioPortal, and g:Profiler. ResultsCDH1 was overexpressed but showed variable prognostic significance; higher expression predicted better survival in COAD, LUAD and STAD, worse survival in BRCA and had no impact in OV. Classic inverse relationships between CDH1 and VIM or ZEB1 were evident only in STAD, and SNAI1 showed no consistent association. Immune infiltration patterns were tumor-specific, ranging from cytotoxic T-cell dominance in LUAD to macrophage-rich profiles in OV; immune checkpoint correlations were similarly context-dependent. Co-expressed genes were enriched for endomembrane transport rather than adhesion pathways. Promoter methylation patterns varied by cancer, whereas genomic alterations of CDH1 were rare. ConclusionsCDH1 does not function as a universal epithelial or EMT marker across epithelial cancers. Instead, its associations with EMT, immune contexture, methylation, and prognosis are context-dependent, supporting a model of CDH1 as a heterogeneous regulator of epithelial plasticity. These findings challenge single-function interpretations and support cancer-specific CDH1 evaluation in translational research.

PurposeProgastrin, aberrantly expressed in colorectal cancer (CRC), is an established trophic factor for tumour epithelial cells. Whether it also promotes CRC progression by reprogramming stromal fibroblasts remains unclear. We investigated progastrin-induced colonic fibroblast activation and its functional consequences on CRC cell migration. MethodsFibroblast activation was assessed in the colonic mucosa of hGAS mice and in the human normal colonic fibroblast line CCD18Co exposed to synthetic progastrin. The impact of tumour-derived progastrin on epithelial cell motility was analysed using HCT116 cells expressing a control shRNA (shLuc) or a progastrin-targeting shRNA (shPG) in transwell migration assays performed with or without fibroblasts. Candidate paracrine mediators were evaluated by RT-qPCR, ELISA and neutralization experiments, and signalling was interrogated using the PI3K inhibitor LY294002. ResultsColonic fibroblasts from hGAS mice displayed stromal FAP and SMA expression, indicating fibroblast activation in vivo. In CCD18Co cells, progastrin increased FAP and SMA protein levels. Fibroblasts enhanced HCT116 cell migration. This effect was stronger when tumour cells expressed progastrin or when fibroblasts were preconditioned by progastrin-producing HCT116 cells. Progastrin induced CXCL12/SDF-1 and CXCL8/IL-8 expression and secretion by fibroblasts, and neutralization of either chemokine abrogated the additional migratory effect conferred by progastrin-activated fibroblasts. Progastrin triggered sustained Akt phosphorylation in fibroblasts, while PI3K inhibition suppressed CXCL12 and CXCL8 secretion and abolished fibroblast-dependent tumour cell migration. ConclusionThese data identify a stromal dimension of progastrin signalling in CRC and support a model in which tumour-derived progastrin activates colonic fibroblasts and elicits a PI3K/Akt-dependent paracrine programme that enhances CRC cell migration.

BackgroundThe MDM2-p53 signaling pathway plays a central role in tumor suppression, and genetic variants that disrupt this pathway may influence breast cancer (BC) susceptibility. However, data from South Asian populations, particularly Bangladesh, remain limited. MethodsA case-control study was conducted in Bangladeshi women, including BC patients and healthy controls (HCs). Genotyping of MDM2 polymorphisms was performed using PCR-based methods. Circulating MDM2 and p53 protein levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA). Associations between genotype, protein levels, BC status, and clinicopathological features were evaluated using appropriate statistical models. ResultsA strong and genotype-specific association was observed for MDM2 rs2279744. Women carrying the heterozygous TG genotype had a markedly increased risk of BC across additive, dominant, and over-dominant models, whereas the GG genotype showed a protective effect under the recessive model. In contrast, rs937282 did not show a significant association with BC risk. Circulating MDM2 levels were significantly elevated in patients compared with controls and varied by rs2279744 genotype, while circulating p53 levels showed an opposite trend. A strong inverse correlation was observed between serum MDM2 and p53 levels, supporting dysregulation of the MDM2-p53 feedback loop. Elevated MDM2 levels were also noted in HER2-positive and triple-positive BC subtypes. ConclusionTogether, these findings indicate that the MDM2 rs2279744 polymorphism contributes to BC susceptibility in a genotype-specific manner, likely through disruption of the MDM2-p53 regulatory balance. However, the absence of functional validation limits direct causal inference.

Background: Prostate cancer survival varies by stage at diagnosis, and Black men experience a disproportionate burden of advanced disease. We examined whether neighborhood deprivation, measured by Area Deprivation Index (ADI), contributes to racial differences in metastatic presentation. Methods: We conducted a population-based study of men diagnosed with prostate cancer in the Ohio Cancer Incidence Surveillance System from 1996 to 2016. The primary endpoint was distant-stage disease at diagnosis. Generalized additive models assessed nonlinear associations of ADI and diagnosis year with metastatic risk. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) models estimated odds ratios comparing Black with White men after sequential adjustment for diagnosis year, age, insurance, and ADI. Results: Among 135,095 men, 18,690 were Black and 116,405 were White. Distant-stage disease occurred in 7.0% of Black men and 5.0% of White men. Black men had higher median ADI (60.9 vs. 47.3). Medicaid-insured men had the highest unadjusted odds of metastatic presentation (OR, 4.68; 95% CI, 4.13-5.31), exceeding uninsured men (OR, 2.91; 95% CI, 2.54-3.34). In IPTW models without age adjustment, the odds ratio decreased from 1.54 to 1.24 after adding insurance and ADI. In age-adjusted IPTW models, the odds ratio decreased from 1.79 to 1.41 after adding insurance and ADI. Generalized additive models showed increasing metastatic risk at higher ADI values and after 2008. Conclusions: Neighborhood deprivation and insurance-related access explained part, but not all, of the excess odds of metastatic diagnosis among Black men. Impact: Integrating ADI into cancer surveillance may improve identification of populations at risk for late-stage diagnosis.

ObjectiveTo quantify the gap between pregnancy desire and pregnancy attempts among young women with and without a history of breast cancer (BC), and to identify factors associated with this gap. DesignCross-sectional cohort study. SettingThe FEERIC study, conducted in France. PopulationWomen aged 18-43 years without or with prior BC filling inclusion forms of a collaborative study. MethodsPregnancy desire was assessed by self-report ("Do you currently desire a pregnancy?"). Attempt was defined as engaging in unprotected intercourse with the intention to conceive. The pregnancy desire-attempt gap was defined as expressing a desire for pregnancy without actively trying to conceive. Logistic regression was used to evaluate associated demographic, clinical, and treatment-related factors. Main outcome measuresPrevalence of the pregnancy desire-attempt gap and predictors of this gap among BC survivors. ResultsOf 4,351 participants (517 with BC and 3,834 controls), 735 (16.9%) reported a pregnancy desire with 54% attempting conception and 46% who did not. The desire-attempt gap was significantly more frequent in women with a history of BC (OR=1.62, 95%CI[1.15-2.30]). Among BC survivors, younger age (<30years), nulliparity, being single, and ongoing endocrine therapy were independently associated with the gap, whereas prior chemotherapy or trastuzumab were not. ConclusionsNearly half of women declaring desiring pregnancy do not initiate pregnancy attempts, with a larger gap among BC survivors. These findings highlight the need to explore both medical barriers and psychosocial determinants underlying this gap and underscore the importance of refining the language used in reproductive research. FundingThis study was supported by "SHS INCa" grant no.2016-124 and is part of a research project on young women funded by Monoprix*.

BackgroundRecent evidence suggests that cancer can exhibit splicing alterations that give rise to tumour-specific isoforms. One example is NUMB, which produces four isoforms (p72, p71, p66, and p65) through alternative splicing of exons 3 and 9. Traditionally considered a tumour suppressor, it also has been considered an oncogene. We propose that this duality is due to isoform-specific expression. ResultsUsing public databases, we identified a tumour-associated switch in NUMB isoform expression: p72/p71 are upregulated in tumours, whereas p66/p65 are more expressed in non-tumour tissues. These isoforms correlate differently with cellular processes. NUMBL, a NUMB homolog, behaves similarly to p65. We identified two transcriptional clusters: one characterized by high expression of p72/p71, and another by p66/p65/NUMBL. Each group was associated differently with the Notch, WNT/{beta}-catenin, Hedgehog, and Hippo signalling pathways, suggesting isoform-specific regulatory roles. Analysis of breast cancer cell lines (CCLE) led to a NUMB score based on isoform expression, which classified cell lines into biologically distinct groups. The p72/p71-enriched group showed distinct signatures, pathway activity, and drug sensitivity. Applying this score to TCGA-BRCA samples revealed a significant link between high NUMB-score and poor survival, confirmed by Kaplan-Meier analysis. ConclusionsNUMB emerges as a potential oncogenic contributor and biomarker in splicing-based personalised medicine, highlighting isoform-specific expression as a clinically relevant determinant of tumour behaviour, pathway activity, and therapeutic response.

Importance BRCA genetic testing is critical for cancer risk assessment, treatment and personalization, yet substantial underutilization persists. Socioeconomic and clinical factors may strongly influence testing uptake; therefore, identifying the potential drivers to BRCA testing and treatment is essential for addressing gaps in access, increasing retention into care, and improving cancer outcomes. Objective To quantify the putatively causal effects of SDoH on BRCA genetic testing among individuals with breast, ovarian, pancreatic, and prostate cancers and to develop a predictive model to identify patients at risk for underuse of testing. Design, Setting, and Participants This observational case-control study used data from a large multistate clinical research data network covering southern US (2012-2023). The network contained records of more than 26 million individuals and was linked with ZIP code-level SDoH variables derived from national socioeconomic datasets. Adults diagnosed with breast, ovarian, pancreatic, or prostate cancer were eligible for cases (received BRCA testing) or controls (did not receive BRCA testing, matched by cancer diagnosis). Exposure SDoH categories, including economic conditions, education, healthcare access, neighborhood conditions, and social connectedness. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was receipt of BRCA genetic testing after cancer diagnosis. Results Among 3,279 people diagnosed with cancer, 748 received BRCA testing and 2,531 served as controls. Study population mean [SD] age was 66.8 [15.7] years; 1,758 were women [53.6%], 2,238 [69.6%] were White and 616 [18.8%] were Black or African American. Breast (1,420 [42.8%]) and prostate (1,342 [40.9%]) cancers were the most common diagnoses, followed by pancreatic (242 [7.4%]), ovarian (238 [7.2%]), and multiple cancers (55 [1.7%]). Upon adjusting for potential confounding, higher educational attainment (odds ratio [OR], 1.19), public-sector employment (OR, 1.42), neighborhood safety (OR, 1.28), and social participation (OR, 1.72) showed an increased likelihood of undergoing BRCA testing, whereas economic instability, including housing cost burden and reliance on public insurance, had an effect of reduced testing. A random forest classifier demonstrated good discriminative performance (AUROC, 0.776) to predict cancer patients who were likely to take BRCA testing, where nativity, language, and residential stability ranked among the most influential social determinants according to SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis. Conclusions and Relevance In this observational case-control study, SDoHs were strongly associated with receipt of BRCA genetic testing among people with cancer. These findings suggest that disparities in genetic testing may reflect structural and social barriers rather than differences in clinical eligibility alone. Efforts to improve equitable access to genetic testing may benefit from integrating social-context information into clinical workflows and targeting outreach or navigation strategies toward socially disadvantaged populations.

Excess body weight has been associated with increased cancer risk, but the role of weight change across adulthood remains unclear. We examined body weight trajectories from ages 17 to 60 and their associations with site-specific cancer incidence. Data were based on the ODDS study, a pooled, nationwide cohort study in Sweden, with data on weight spanning 1911 to 2020, and cancer follow-up through 2023. Weight trajectories were estimated with linear mixed effects models in individuals with at least three weight measurements. Cox regressions estimated hazard ratios for associations between weight trajectories and established and potentially obesity-related cancers. Fifth versus first quintile of weight change was associated with many cancers, most strongly with esophageal adenocarcinoma in men (HR 2.25; 95% CI 1.66-3.04), liver cancer in men (HR 2.67; 95% CI 2.15-3.33), endometrial cancer in women (HR 3.78; 95% CI 3.09-4.61), and pituitary tumors in both sexes (men: HR 3.13 [95% CI 2.13-4.61]; women: HR 2.13 [95% CI 1.41-3.22]). Associations varied by sex and age. Heavier weight at age 17 years and earlier obesity onset were also associated with higher cancer incidence. These findings highlight the importance of a life-course approach to weight management and support sex- and age-targeted cancer prevention strategies.

BackgroundColorectal cancer (CRC) is a molecularly heterogeneous disease shaped by both genetic and epigenetic alterations. Approximately 15% of CRCs display widespread CpG island hypermethylation, known as the CpG Island Methylator Phenotype (CIMP). CIMP-high (CIMP-H) tumours frequently exhibit MLH1 promoter hypermethylation, leading to mismatch repair deficiency (MMRd) and microsatellite instability (MSI). However, DNA methylation patterns associated with MSI, independent of CIMP and MLH1 silencing, and the influence of clinical variables such as anatomical location and patient age on the CRC methylome remain poorly characterised. MethodsWe performed epigenome-wide DNA methylation profiling of 259 primary CRC tissue samples using the Illumina EPICv2 array, comparing differential methylation between MSI and microsatellite stable (MSS) CRC, adjusting for tumour purity, MLH1 promoter methylation, CIMP status, and anatomical location, to account for known confounders. We further evaluated the independent effects of anatomical location and patient age on global methylation patterns. ResultsEpigenome-wide differential methylation between MSS and MSI CRC was dominated by MLH1 promoter hypermethylation. After adjusting for MLH1 hypermethylation and CIMP status, we identified a distinct set of 656 CpG sites associated with MMRd independent of MLH1 silencing. These included hypermethylation at LRP6, GSK3{beta}, and CDK12, implicating altered WNT signalling and transcriptional regulation pathways. Comparison of MSI subgroups revealed the co-occurrence of MLH1 hypermethylation with promoter hypermethylation at TXNRD1. Anatomical location showed a strong independent effect on methylation patterns, while we observed only modest effects of patient age on the CRC methylome after adjustment for confounders. ConclusionsWe identified a distinct methylation profile distinguishing MSS and MSI CRC, including MLH1-independent markers of MMRd, as well as novel differentially methylated loci within MSI subgroups. We further showed that anatomical location has a strong independent impact on the CRC methylome. Together, these findings refine the molecular characterisation of CRC and highlight potential epigenetic markers that could inform patient stratification and precision oncology.

ObjectivesTo estimate current, and 5- and 10-year projected, number of cases of cancer per year in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England, overall and by tumour type, accounting for uptake of gender affirming care (GAC). DesignPopulation-based epidemiological modelling study using an age-stratified Monte Carlo simulations approach and the NORDPRED method for predictions. SettingModels estimating cancer case numbers for TGD people in England based on publicly available 2023 cancer surveillance data and survey-based 2025 GAC access, and predicted at 5 and 10 years hence. ParticipantsTGD people aged 15 years and above. Main outcome measuresPrimary cancer cases per year overall, by gender, age group, tumour type, and current and planned GAC. ResultsThe estimated TGD population size in England is 441547 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 429207- 452890). Total cases per year of cancer in TGD people is expected to be 966 (95% UI 882-1069) excluding non-melanoma skin. Most cases are expected to occur in people aged 60-64. The top 5 expected cancers in TGD people are breast (19%, n = 187, 95% UI 149-241), colorectal (12%, n = 117, 95% UI 106-129), lung (11%, n = 108, 95% UI 96-122), melanoma (7.1%, n = 69, 95% UI 64-74) and urinary (6.2%, n = 60, 95% UI 54-67). Total cases of cancer in TGD people are estimated to be 1740 (95% UI 1584-1934) in 5 years and 2258 (95% UI 2066-2507) in 10 years (excluding non-melanoma skin). If TGD people were able to access their planned level of GAC, this would reduce these figures to 1555 (95% CI 1386-1766) and 2012 (95% CI 1797-2282) respectively. ConclusionsThis study provides prediction of cancer cases in TGD people in England, supporting the planning of service provision and training. This is vital, as with increasing disclosure, and long wait times for GAC, cancer cases in TGD people are predicted to increase. Summary BoxesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSThe annual number of cases of cancer in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England is currently unknown as gender incongruence is not collected as part of the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service. Some gender-affirming care (GAC) interventions are known to modulate cancer risk. Use of testosterone and chest reconstruction for transmasculine people is known to reduce their incidence of breast cancer compared to cisgender women. Use of oestradiol alongside medical or surgical androgen suppression has been shown to reduce the incidence of prostate cancer in transfeminine people while increasing their risk of breast cancer, compared to cisgender men. What this study addsThis study found that there are likely to be approximately 966 cases of cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin) in TGD people per year in the UK. Though total annual cases of cancer in TGD people are expected to be 2258 in 10 years, improved access to gender-affirming care could reduce total cases to 2012 (a 11% reduction). These figures provide additional justification for funding to improve access to GAC via the National Health Service (NHS), as well as for training on the oncological needs of this population.

BackgroundBreast cancer exhibits extensive molecular heterogeneity across intrinsic subtypes, yet convergent metabolic reprogramming may represent an obligate feature of tumour initiation. We hypothesised that suppression of nuclear-encoded mitochondrial fatty acid oxidation (FAO) constitutes such a convergence point, defining a shared metabolic phenotype independent of subtype. MethodsRNA-seq data from 1,106 primary breast tumours and 113 normal-adjacent tissues (TCGA-BRCA) were intersected with 1,079 nuclear-encoded mitochondrial genes from MitoCarta 3.0. Differential expression was assessed using Welch t-test with Benjamini-Hochberg correction at all tumour stages, at Stage I specifically, and stratified across PAM50 subtypes. A 55-gene core FAO signature was derived by three-way intersection. Ten candidate genes were selected by pre-specified objective scoring, locked before any clinical testing. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed using MitoCarta 3.0 pathway annotations. Diagnostic performance, clinical associations, survival, and mutation independence were characterised. External validation used two independent GEO cohorts (GSE42568, n = 121; GSE109169, n = 50); prognostic validation used METABRIC (Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium; n = 1,980). DESeq2 was applied as methodological cross-validation. ResultsAmong 126 differentially expressed mitochondrial genes, fatty acid oxidation was the most significantly depleted pathway (normalised enrichment score -2.130; false discovery rate 0.001). The 55-gene core signature replicated in both external cohorts with 100% directional concordance (hypergeometric p < 10-{superscript 1}). All 10 candidate genes discriminated tumour from normal tissue (area under the curve 0.915-0.979) and demonstrated broad clinical associations. The composite FAO suppression score predicted overall survival in METABRIC (log-rank p = 7.82 x 10-) and MAOA achieved independent prognostic significance in multivariable Cox regression (hazard ratio 0.890; adjusted p = 0.009). DESeq2 cross-validation confirmed Spearman {rho} = 0.980 concordance. ConclusionsNuclear-encoded FAO suppression is a robust, pan-subtype feature of breast cancer detectable at Stage I and validated across independent platforms and cohorts. These 10 candidate genes constitute a consistent initiation-phase mitochondrial signature, implicating FAO suppression as a potential convergence point in breast cancer oncogenesis and motivating targeted functional investigation.

Importance: Non-medullary thyroid cancer (NMTC) and melanoma are associated with inherited long telomeres due to germline pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants (PV/LPV) in POT1, TINF2, and ACD resulting in long-telomere syndrome (LTS) and they commonly have somatic TERT promoter mutations. The genetic relationship between these variants and their clinical associations are defined incompletely and may inform clinical practice. Objective: To test the hypothesis that germline LTS-associated PV/LPV are exclusive from functional somatic TERT variants and assess clinical/genetic associations. Design: Retrospective observational cohort study with/without germline LTS variants, that have somatic sequencing and pathology data. Setting: Participants were enrolled through 18 cancer centers participating in the Oncology Research Information Exchange Network (ORIEN). Participants: 995 adults with NMTC and 993 with melanoma between 2013 and 2025. All adult patients at an ORIEN center were offered enrollment Exposures: All patients with NMTC or melanoma are included. There are no required exposures. Main Outcomes and Measures: The presence/absence of a germline or somatic long-telomere variant; secondary outcomes are associations with tumor stage, telomerase expression, and oncogenes. Results: Germline and somatic variants in POT1/TINF2/ACD, somatic TERT promoter variants, TERT fusions, oncogenes, and telomerase mRNA expression were evaluated in 995 NMTC and 993 melanoma patients. In NMTC, 13 (1.5%) had a germline LTS variant while 0/12 with tumor sequencing had somatic TERT promoter variants/fusions. In melanoma, 7 (0.7%) had a LTS variant; 0/2 with tumor sequencing had a TERT promoter variant/ fusion. Meta-analysis including NMTC and melanoma in the current study, a recent thyroid cancer study, and thyroid TCGA, germline LTS-associated PV/LPV and somatic TERT variants/fusions were mutually exclusive (p=0.036). High telomerase mRNA levels were associated with TERT promoter variants/fusions (p<4e-11) and larger NMTC/distant metastases (p=0.016), but not germline LTS variants. NMTCs with somatic TERT promoter variants/fusions had higher tumor mutation burden (p<0.02) versus tumors from patients with a germline LTS variant. TERT promoter mutant variant allele frequency was lower in smaller and non-metastatic vs larger/metastatic NMTC. Conclusion and Relevance: Germline LTS-associated variants appear to be exclusive from somatic TERT promoter variants/fusions but are not associated with aggressive NMTC, suggesting common roles in tumorigenesis but different biological impacts.